Bengaluru, NFAPost: Bengaluru leads the flex space stock in the country at 10.6 million sq. ft according to JLL report – Reimagine Flexspaces A 360⁰ view. Flex space can be loosely defined as any building (typically single story) that has some sort of combination of warehouse space and office/retail space
The city also has a higher penetration of flex space in the country at 4.8% as compared to the national average of 3%. Market penetration basically represents flex space as a proportion of total office stock. Bengaluru and Delhi NCR together account for more than 50% of the flex space stock in India, with Bengaluru housing around 10.6 million sq ft of such spaces.
According to JLL analyst, the demand for flexible spaces in large cities such as Bengaluru is likely to grow, with businesses having a greater need for such spaces to accommodate portfolio expansion and contraction along with crisis support to flex their space needs as necessary.
Space absorption
“Bengaluru has one of the best ecosystems for the development and evolution of flex spaces in the country. Therefore, it is no wonder that, today, the city almost leads in flex space absorption owing to its large numbers of startups and IT/ITES companies, “said Rahul Arora, Managing Director, Bengaluru, JLL.
The country is expected to witness deeper penetration, throughout 2021 and beyond, the flex space market is forecast to grow at a slower pace and more organically. Irrespective of several short-term disruptions and challenges, increased demand from large enterprises, will support the growth of the flex space market to more than 50 million sq. ft. by 2023.
It is anticipated that flexible space will grow by an average of around 15-20% per annum over the next three-to-four years, although this trajectory will not be linear. Previously expected levels of new investment are unlikely to be seen, as operators look to solidify their existing operations and it is likely that certain operators will not be able to weather the storm.
As corporates return to the workplace, they are likely to further leverage flexible space to reduce capital expenditure and create cost savings, while allowing for split teams and de-densification requirements. Developments that initially drove the growth of the flex market, like the focus on utilizing workplaces to boost productivity and drive dynamic work cultures, enhance emphasis on employee health etc., will continue to influence the next phase in India.
Spike in demand
Commenting on the finding, JLL India Chief Economist and Head of Research Dr Samantak Das said while the flex-space market more than tripled in the last 3 years, the momentum going ahead will be relatively slower.
“Players are likely to tread cautiously, and the overall market is expected to expand 1.5 times from the current size. At the same time, demand for flexible space is likely to remain resilient and we expect the size of the flex space market to cross 50 mn sq. ft. by 2023 led by increased demand from larger enterprises,” said JLL India Chief Economist and Head of Research Dr Samantak Das.
In the commercial real estate space, flex spaces have become synonymous with adaptability. As preferences evolve, a range of flexible space options have taken shape to suit changing business needs, including remote working.
To respond to the current disruption, and to lay the groundwork to deal with what may be permanent changes for the industry, flex space operators have been agile and are recalibrating their business strategies. They are now laying a greater emphasis on profitability and evolving strategies to ensure stable occupancy levels in their flex space centres.
Driving demand
The densification trend that had emerged over the last decade will likely reverse with enterprises leaning on flexible office space to relax space density. Large enterprises might also look at splitting up their offices to reduce commute times and dependence on public transport.
However, with expected economic uncertainty, companies will be hesitant to commit large capital to real estate. In terms of strategy, leasing directly to a third-party flexible space operator is the most widely adopted model. A partnership model allows both landlords and operators to leverage each other’s strengths.
There are several ways to implement a partnership, with revenue shares and management contracts being the most common. Under the revenue share option, both parties split the upside. In the case of a management contract, the operator gets a fixed payment, while the landlord assumes all the leasing risk and enjoys the upside. Despite the benefits of this approach, partnerships are relatively less common in India for now.
Prospects going ahead
The entry of more than 300 flex space operators into the country helped commoditize the market. Prior to the pandemic, most of these operators were focused on attaining scale and capturing market share. However, the availability of capital, in the current scenario, will be a challenge.
Players who have embarked on aggressive growth so far will find themselves strapped for capital. In such a scenario, the market is likely to witness consolidation activity driven by larger operators with financial wherewithal acquiring smaller ones.
Flexible workplaces will continue to be a major influence on the future direction of the Indian office market. There will be an even greater focus on providing customized office space solutions and demand for flexible space will not only return but increase, as occupiers embrace the core plus flex model more widely. Despite the massive disruption from the impact of Covid-19, the future of flexible workspaces will remain optimistic.
